The four-point advantage falls within the survey’s stated margin of error of plus or minus four percentage points.
In addition, Drazan’s campaign has not released the complete questionnaire or detailed cross-tabulations, making it difficult to independently evaluate the findings.
Still, the poll is notable because Oregon has not elected a Republican governor since 1986.
Drazan narrowly lost to Kotek in the 2022 election, receiving 43.5% of the vote compared with Kotek’s 47%.
Republicans hope dissatisfaction with Oregon’s economy, housing affordability, homelessness and public education will help Drazan overcome the state’s long Democratic winning streak.
“If you’re Tina Kotek, this should be a wake-up call,” Drazan campaign strategist Trey Rosser said in a statement.
“People are frustrated by the rising cost of living, the lack of affordable housing, worsening homelessness and a governor who keeps making life more expensive instead of fixing problems.”
